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1.
Clin Cancer Res ; 2024 May 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695832

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Minimal residual disease (MRD) detection identifies patients with colorectal adenocarcinoma (CRC) likely to recur following definitive treatment. We evaluated a plasma only MRD assay to predict recurrence and survival in metastatic CRC patients undergoing curative intent procedures (surgery and/or radiotherapy), with or without (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy. The primary objective of this study was to assess the correlation of post-procedure tumor cfDNA detection status with radiographic disease recurrence (RFS). EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Pre- and post-procedure longitudinal samples were collected from 53 patients and analyzed with a multiomic MRD assay detecting circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from genomic and epigenomic signals. Pre- and post-procedure ctDNA detection correlated with recurrence-free and overall survival. RESULTS: 230/233 samples from 52 patients were successfully analyzed. At the time of data cutoff, 36 (69.2%) patients recurred with median follow-up of 31 months. 19/42 patients (45.2%) with ctDNA analyzed 3 weeks post-procedure had detectable ctDNA. ctDNA detection 3 weeks post-procedure was associated with shorter median RFS (HR 5.27; 95% CI, 2.31-12.0, p<0.0001) and overall survival (OS) (HR 12.83; 95% CI, 3.6-45.9, p<0.0001). Pre-procedure ctDNA detection status was not associated with RFS but was associated with improved OS (HR 4.65; 95% CI, 1.4-15.2, p=0.0111). Undetectable ctDNA pre-procedure had notable long-term overall survival, >90% 3 years post-procedure. CONCLUSION: In this cohort of oligometastatic CRC, detection of ctDNA pre- or post-procedure was associated with inferior outcomes even after accounting for prognostic clinicopathologic variables. This suggests ctDNA may enhance current risk stratification methods helping evaluate novel treatments and surveillance strategies toward improving patient outcomes.

3.
J Gastrointest Surg ; 28(3): 246-251, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38445916

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Despite significant advancements in the treatment of patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs), only a minority will experience long-term survival. This study aimed to determine the effect of chemotherapy (CT) and immunotherapy (IT) compared with that of CT alone on patient survival after surgical resection. METHODS: Patients undergoing curative-intent liver resection followed by adjuvant systemic therapy for stage IV colon cancer were identified using the National Cancer Database. Patients were stratified into type of therapy (CT alone vs CT + IT) and microsatellite status. Propensity score-weighted analysis was performed through 1:1 matching based on the nearest neighbor method. RESULTS: Of 9943 patients who underwent resection of CRLMs, 7971 (80%) received systemic adjuvant therapy. Of 7971 patients, 1432 (18%) received a combination of CT and IT. Microsatellite status was not associated with overall survival (OS). Adjuvant CT + IT was associated with increased 3-year OS compared with that of CT alone in both the unmatched cohort (55% vs 48%, respectively; P < .001) and matched cohort (52% vs 48%, respectively; P = .050). On multivariate analysis, older age, positive resection margins, and KRAS mutation were independent predictors of poor survival, whereas the administration of adjuvant CT + IT was an independent predictor of improved survival. CONCLUSION: IT combined with CT was associated with improved survival compared with that of CT alone after curative-intent resection of CRLMs, regardless of microsatellite instability status. Clinical trials to determine optimal patient selection, IT regimen, and long-term efficacy to improve outcomes of patients with CRLMs are warranted.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias del Colon , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Inmunoterapia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/terapia , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Hepatectomía , Neoplasias del Colon/terapia
4.
World J Surg Oncol ; 22(1): 77, 2024 Mar 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38468341

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Metastatic melanoma to the small bowel is an aggressive disease often accompanied by obstruction, abdominal pain, and gastrointestinal bleeding. With advancements in melanoma treatment, the role for metastasectomy continues to evolve. Inclusion of novel immunotherapeutic agents, such as checkpoint inhibitors, into standard treatment regimens presents potential survival benefits for patients receiving metastasectomy. CASE PRESENTATION: We report an institutional experience of 15 patients (12 male, 3 female) between 2014-2022 that underwent small bowel metastasectomy for metastatic melanoma and received perioperative systemic treatment. Median age of patients was 64 years (range: 35-83 years). No patients died within 30 days of their surgery, and the median hospital length of stay was 5 days. Median overall survival in these patients was 30.1 months (range: 2-115 months). Five patients died from disease (67 days, 252 days, 426 days, 572 days, 692 days postoperatively), one patient died of non-disease related causes (1312 days postoperatively), six patients are alive with disease, and three remain disease free. CONCLUSIONS: This case series presents an updated perspective of the utility of metastasectomy for small bowel metastasis in the age of novel immunotherapeutic agents as standard systemic treatment. Small bowel metastasectomy for advanced melanoma performed in conjunction with perioperative systemic therapy is safe and appears to promote long-term survival and enhanced quality of life.


Asunto(s)
Melanoma , Metastasectomía , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Melanoma/terapia , Melanoma/patología , Calidad de Vida , Inmunoterapia , Intestino Delgado/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos
5.
JAMA Surg ; 159(3): 345-347, 2024 Mar 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38150246

RESUMEN

This cross-sectional study assesses the association between venous thrombosis and embolization in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Embolización Terapéutica , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trombosis de la Vena , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Vena Porta/patología , Resultado del Tratamiento
6.
Arq Bras Cir Dig ; 36: e1782, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38088727

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Bariatric surgery is the most effective option to reduce weight in morbid obesity patients. The techniques most employed are the restrictive surgery laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG), surgical procedures of intestinal malabsorption, and both types (restrictive and intestinal malabsorption) such as the Roux-en-Y laparoscopic gastric bypass (RYLGB). AIMS: To determine if LSG is more effective than RYLGB for weight loss. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis was carried out, including five clinical trials and sixteen cohorts comparing LSG versus RYLGB in weight loss and secondary outcomes: resolution of comorbidities, postoperative complications, operative time, hospital stay, and improvement in quality of life. RESULTS: Excess weight loss was 10.2% (mean difference [MD] 10.2; 95%CI -10.14; -9.90) higher in patients undergoing LSG than in patients submitted to RYLGB. Diabetes mellitus type 2 was resolved in 17% (relative risk [RR] 0.83; 95%CI 0.77-0.90) of cases, more significantly after LSG, arterial hypertension in 23% (RR 0.77; 95%CI 0.69-0.84), and dyslipidemia in 17% (RR 0.83; 95%CI 0.77-0.90). Postoperative complications were 73% higher in patients undergoing RYLGB (MD 0.73; 95%CI 0.63-0.83). The operative time was 35.76 minutes shorter in the LSG (MD -35.76; 95%CI -37.28; -34.24). Finally, the quality of life improved more in patients operated by LSG (MD 0.37; 95%CI -0.48; -0.26). CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrated that LSG could be more effective than RYLGB in reducing the percentage of excess weight, comorbidities, postoperative complications, operative time, hospital stay, and in improving quality of life.


Asunto(s)
Derivación Gástrica , Laparoscopía , Obesidad Mórbida , Humanos , Derivación Gástrica/métodos , Calidad de Vida , Obesidad Mórbida/cirugía , Obesidad Mórbida/complicaciones , Laparoscopía/métodos , Gastrectomía/métodos , Pérdida de Peso , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Resultado del Tratamiento
7.
Rev. cir. (Impr.) ; 75(5)oct. 2023.
Artículo en Español | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1530073

RESUMEN

Introducción: Existe una controversia acerca del mejor enfoque para el tratamiento de la apendicitis aguda no complicada. Este metaanálisis buscó evaluar la eficacia, recurrencia de la patología, presencia de complicaciones mayores, y duración de la estancia hospitalaria en adultos con apendicitis aguda no complicada. Materiales y Método: Se realizó una búsqueda sistemática de ensayos clínicos aleatorizados en las bases de datos PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase y Cochrane Library hasta finales de octubre del 2022. El riesgo de sesgo y calidad de los estudios incluidos en el estudio fueron evaluados mediante la herramienta RoB 2.0. de la Colaboración Cochrane. La síntesis de datos fue realizada a través del software Cochrane Review Manager (RevMan; version 5.3). Resultados: 6 estudios fueron incluidos, con un total de 1.862 pacientes. La probabilidad de presentar una mejoría clínica definitiva en el grupo que recibió antibioticoterapia fue menor (RR 0,5; IC95% 0,92-0,98; p = 0,004; IC2 = 44%). La probabilidad de presentar una recurrencia de la apendicitis en el grupo que recibió antibioticoterapia fue notablemente superior (RR 94,86; IC95% 30,73-292,81; p < 0,00001; IC2 = 0%). El grupo conservador presentó un menor riesgo de presentar una complicación mayor (RR 0,55; IC95% 0,36-0,85; p = 0,007; IC2 = 0%). El tratamiento conservador presentó una duración de la estancia hospitalaria superior que la apendicectomía (MD 0,34; IC95% 0,25-0,42; p < 0,00001; IC2 = 64%). Conclusiones: Esta revisión sistemática demuestra que, en términos de eficacia, recurrencia del cuadro y duración de la estancia hospitalaria, la antibioticoterapia es inferior a la apendicectomía en adultos con apendicitis aguda no complicada y superior en evitar la presencia de complicaciones mayores.


Introduction: There is controversy about the best approach for the treatment of uncomplicated acute appendicitis. This meta-analysis sought to assess efficacy, disease recurrence, presence of major complications, and length of hospital stay in adults with uncomplicated acute appendicitis. Materials and Method: A systematic search for randomized clinical trials was performed in the PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases up to the end of October 2022. The risk of bias and quality of the studies included in the study were assessed. using the RoB 2.0 tool. of the Cochrane Collaboration. Data synthesis was performed using the Cochrane Review Manager software (RevMan; version 5.3). Results: 6 studies were included, with a total of 1.862 patients. The probability of presenting a definitive clinical improvement in the group that received antibiotic therapy was lower (RR 0.5; CI95% 0.92-0.98; p = 0.004; CI2 = 44%). The probability of presenting a recurrence of appendicitis in the group that received antibiotic therapy was notably higher (RR 94.86; 95%CI 30.73-292.81; p < 0.00001; CI2 = 0%). The conservative group presented a lower risk of presenting a major complication (RR 0.55; CI95% 0.36-0.85; p = 0.007; CI2 = 0%). Conservative treatment had a longer hospital stay than appendectomy (MD 0.34; 95%CI 0.250.42; p < 0.00001; CI2 = 64%). Conclusions: This systematic review shows that, in terms of efficacy, recurrence of the condition, and length of hospital stay, antibiotic therapy is inferior to appendectomy in adults with uncomplicated acute appendicitis, and superior in avoiding the presence of major complications.

8.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 30(12): 7738-7747, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37550449

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Clinically-relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) is a major postoperative complication and the primary determinant of surgical outcomes. However, the majority of current risk calculators utilize intraoperative and postoperative variables, limiting their utility in the preoperative setting. Therefore, we aimed to develop a user-friendly risk calculator to predict CR-POPF following PD using state-of-the-art machine learning (ML) algorithms and only preoperatively known variables. METHODS: Adult patients undergoing elective PD for non-metastatic pancreatic cancer were identified from the ACS-NSQIP targeted pancreatectomy dataset (2014-2019). The primary endpoint was development of CR-POPF (grade B or C). Secondary endpoints included discharge to facility, 30-day mortality, and a composite of overall and significant complications. Four models (logistic regression, neural network, random forest, and XGBoost) were trained, validated and a user-friendly risk calculator was then developed. RESULTS: Of the 8666 patients who underwent elective PD, 13% (n = 1160) developed CR-POPF. XGBoost was the best performing model (AUC = 0.72), and the top five preoperative variables associated with CR-POPF were non-adenocarcinoma histology, lack of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, pancreatic duct size less than 3 mm, higher BMI, and higher preoperative serum creatinine. Model performance for 30-day mortality, discharge to a facility, and overall and significant complications ranged from AUC 0.62-0.78. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we developed and validated an ML model using only preoperatively known variables to predict CR-POPF following PD. The risk calculator can be used in the preoperative setting to inform clinical decision-making and patient counseling.

10.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 30(8): 5119-5129, 2023 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37140748

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Malignant peritoneal mesothelioma (MPM) is a rare malignancy with a historically poor prognosis. Cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) has emerged as an effective therapy for patients with peritoneal malignancies. A contemporary analysis of trends in management of and survival from MPM is warranted. METHODS: Patients with MPM were identified from the National Cancer Database (2004-2018). Patients were categorized by treatment (CRS-HIPEC, CRS-chemotherapy, CRS only, chemotherapy only, no treatment), and joinpoint regression was employed to compute the annual percent change (APC) in treatment over time. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze factors associated with survival. RESULTS: Of 2683 patients with MPM, 19.1% underwent CRS-HIPEC, and 21.1% received no treatment. Joinpoint regression revealed a statistically significant increase in the proportion of patients undergoing CRS-HIPEC over time (APC 3.21, p = 0.01), and a concurrent decrease in the proportion of patients who underwent no treatment (APC - 2.21, p = 0.02). Median overall survival was 19.5 months. Factors independently associated with survival included CRS-HIPEC, CRS, histology, sex, age, race, Charlson Comorbidity Index, insurance, and hospital type. Although there was a strong association between year of diagnosis and survival on univariate analysis (2016-2018 HR 0.67, p < 0.001), this association was attenuated after adjustment for treatment. CONCLUSIONS: CRS-HIPEC is increasingly employed as a treatment for MPM. In parallel, there has been a decrease in patients receiving no treatment with an increase in overall survival. These findings suggest that patients with MPM may be receiving more appropriate therapy; however, a substantial proportion of patients may remain undertreated.


Asunto(s)
Hipertermia Inducida , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Mesotelioma Maligno , Mesotelioma , Neoplasias Peritoneales , Humanos , Mesotelioma/patología , Neoplasias Peritoneales/patología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patología , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Pronóstico , Terapia Combinada , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos de Citorreducción , Tasa de Supervivencia , Estudios Retrospectivos
12.
J Natl Compr Canc Netw ; 21(4): 393-422, 2023 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37015332

RESUMEN

Cancers originating in the esophagus or esophagogastric junction constitute a major global health problem. Esophageal cancers are histologically classified as squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) or adenocarcinoma, which differ in their etiology, pathology, tumor location, therapeutics, and prognosis. In contrast to esophageal adenocarcinoma, which usually affects the lower esophagus, esophageal SCC is more likely to localize at or higher than the tracheal bifurcation. Systemic therapy can provide palliation, improved survival, and enhanced quality of life in patients with locally advanced or metastatic disease. The implementation of biomarker testing, especially analysis of HER2 status, microsatellite instability status, and the expression of programmed death-ligand 1, has had a significant impact on clinical practice and patient care. Targeted therapies including trastuzumab, nivolumab, ipilimumab, and pembrolizumab have produced encouraging results in clinical trials for the treatment of patients with locally advanced or metastatic disease. Palliative management, which may include systemic therapy, chemoradiation, and/or best supportive care, is recommended for all patients with unresectable or metastatic cancer. Multidisciplinary team management is essential for all patients with locally advanced esophageal or esophagogastric junction cancers. This selection from the NCCN Guidelines for Esophageal and Esophagogastric Junction Cancers focuses on the management of recurrent or metastatic disease.


Asunto(s)
Adenocarcinoma , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas , Neoplasias Esofágicas , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias , Humanos , Calidad de Vida , Neoplasias Esofágicas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Esofágicas/genética , Neoplasias Esofágicas/terapia , Adenocarcinoma/diagnóstico , Adenocarcinoma/genética , Adenocarcinoma/terapia , Unión Esofagogástrica/patología , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/patología , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias/patología
14.
PLoS One ; 18(4): e0271354, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37022995

RESUMEN

Tumors rich in stroma are associated with advanced stage and poor prognosis in colorectal adenocarcinoma (CRC). Abundance of stromal cells also has implications for genomic analysis of patient tumors as it may prevent detection of somatic mutations. As part of our efforts to interrogate stroma-cancer cell interactions and to identify actionable therapeutic targets in metastatic CRC, we aimed to determine the proportion of stroma embedded in hepatic CRC metastases by performing computational tumor purity analysis based on whole exome sequencing data (WES). Unlike previous studies focusing on histopathologically prescreened samples, we used an unbiased in-house collection of tumor specimens. WES from CRC liver metastasis samples were utilized to evaluate stromal content and to assess the performance of three in silico tumor purity tools, ABSOLUTE, Sequenza and PureCN. Matching tumor derived organoids were analyzed as a high purity control as they are enriched in cancer cells. Computational purity estimates were compared to those from a histopathological assessment conducted by a board-certified pathologist. According to all computational methods, metastatic specimens had a median tumor purity of 30% whereas the organoids were enriched for cancer cells with a median purity estimate of 94%. In line with this, variant allele frequencies (VAFs) of oncogenes and tumor suppressor genes were undetectable or low in most patient tumors, but higher in matching organoid cultures. Positive correlation was observed between VAFs and in silico tumor purity estimates. Sequenza and PureCN produced concordant results whereas ABSOLUTE yielded lower purity estimates for all samples. Our data shows that unbiased sample selection combined with molecular, computational, and histopathological tumor purity assessment is critical to determine the level of stroma embedded in metastatic colorectal adenocarcinoma.


Asunto(s)
Adenocarcinoma , Neoplasias Colorrectales , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Secuenciación del Exoma , Mutación , Exoma/genética , Neoplasias Colorrectales/genética , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Adenocarcinoma/genética , Neoplasias Hepáticas/genética
15.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 30(6): 3413-3422, 2023 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36859704

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Complete resection of colorectal liver metastasis (CLM) improves long-term survival in colorectal cancer. However, there is limited recent data on conditional survival (CS) as postoperative survival milestones are achieved post-hepatectomy. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on the penta-institutional Colorectal Liver Operative Metastasis International Collaborative (COLOMIC), with 906 consecutive CLM hepatectomy cases. CS was calculated using Bayes' theorem and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Additional CS analyses were performed on additional clinicopathologic risk factors, including colon cancer laterality, KRAS mutation status, and extrahepatic disease. RESULTS: The 5-year CS was 40.6%, 45.3%, 52.8%, and 65.3% at 0, 1, 2, and 3 years postoperatively, with significant improvements each year (p < 0.005). CS was not significantly different between right-sided and left-sided colorectal cancers by 3 years postoperatively. Patients with KRAS mutations had worse CS at all timepoints (p < 0.001). Extrahepatic disease was a poor prognostic factor for OS and CS (p < 0.001). However, CS for patients with KRAS mutations or extrahepatic disease improved significantly as 2-year, postoperative survival was achieved (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Five-year CS after hepatectomy for CLM improved with each passing year of survival postoperatively. Although extrahepatic disease and KRAS mutations are poor prognostic factors for OS, these populations still had improved CS after 2 years postoperatively.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Hepatectomía , Neoplasias Colorrectales/genética , Neoplasias Colorrectales/cirugía , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Teorema de Bayes , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas p21(ras)/genética , Pronóstico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/secundario , Tasa de Supervivencia
16.
Ann Surg ; 278(5): e1041-e1047, 2023 11 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36994755

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To compare minimally invasive (MILR) and open liver resections (OLRs) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with metabolic syndrome (MS). BACKGROUND: Liver resections for HCC on MS are associated with high perioperative morbidity and mortality. No data on the minimally invasive approach in this setting exist. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A multicenter study involving 24 institutions was conducted. Propensity scores were calculated, and inverse probability weighting was used to weight comparisons. Short-term and long-term outcomes were investigated. RESULTS: A total of 996 patients were included: 580 in OLR and 416 in MILR. After weighing, groups were well matched. Blood loss was similar between groups (OLR 275.9±3.1 vs MILR 226±4.0, P =0.146). There were no significant differences in 90-day morbidity (38.9% vs 31.9% OLRs and MILRs, P =0.08) and mortality (2.4% vs 2.2% OLRs and MILRs, P =0.84). MILRs were associated with lower rates of major complications (9.3% vs 15.3%, P =0.015), posthepatectomy liver failure (0.6% vs 4.3%, P =0.008), and bile leaks (2.2% vs 6.4%, P =0.003); ascites was significantly lower at postoperative day 1 (2.7% vs 8.1%, P =0.002) and day 3 (3.1% vs 11.4%, P <0.001); hospital stay was significantly shorter (5.8±1.9 vs 7.5±1.7, P <0.001). There was no significant difference in overall survival and disease-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: MILR for HCC on MS is associated with equivalent perioperative and oncological outcomes to OLRs. Fewer major complications, posthepatectomy liver failures, ascites, and bile leaks can be obtained, with a shorter hospital stay. The combination of lower short-term severe morbidity and equivalent oncologic outcomes favor MILR for MS when feasible.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Laparoscopía , Fallo Hepático , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Síndrome Metabólico , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/complicaciones , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , Neoplasias Hepáticas/complicaciones , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Ascitis/complicaciones , Ascitis/cirugía , Síndrome Metabólico/complicaciones , Síndrome Metabólico/cirugía , Hepatectomía , Puntaje de Propensión , Fallo Hepático/cirugía , Tiempo de Internación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/cirugía
18.
J Am Coll Surg ; 236(4): 884-893, 2023 04 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36727981

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Surgical intervention remains the cornerstone of a multidisciplinary approach in the treatment of colorectal liver metastases (CLM). Nevertheless, patient outcomes vary greatly. While predictive tools can assist decision-making and patient counseling, decades of efforts have yet to result in generating a universally adopted tool in clinical practice. STUDY DESIGN: An international collaborative database of CLM patients who underwent surgical therapy between 2000 and 2018 was used to select 1,004 operations for this study. Two different machine learning methods were applied to construct 2 predictive models for recurrence and death, using 128 clinicopathologic variables: gradient-boosted trees (GBTs) and logistic regression with bootstrapping (LRB) in a leave-one-out cross-validation. RESULTS: Median survival after resection was 47.2 months, and disease-free survival was 19.0 months, with a median follow-up of 32.0 months in the cohort. Both models had good predictive power, with GBT demonstrating a superior performance in predicting overall survival (area under the receiver operating curve [AUC] 0.773, 95% CI 0.743 to 0.801 vs LRB: AUC 0.648, 95% CI 0.614 to 0.682) and recurrence (AUC 0.635, 95% CI 0.599 to 0.669 vs LRB: AUC 0.570, 95% CI 0.535 to 0.601). Similarly, better performances were observed predicting 3- and 5-year survival, as well as 3- and 5-year recurrence, with GBT methods generating higher AUCs. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning provides powerful tools to create predictive models of survival and recurrence after surgery for CLM. The effectiveness of both machine learning models varies, but on most occasions, GBT outperforms LRB. Prospective validation of these models lays the groundwork to adopt them in clinical practice.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Aprendizaje Automático , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos
19.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 30(7): 4264-4273, 2023 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36754944

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Although colorectal hepatic metastases (HM) and peritoneal surface disease (PSD) are distinct biologic diseases, they may have similar long-term survival when optimally treated with surgery. METHODS: This study retrospectively reviewed prospectively managed databases. Patients undergoing R0 or R1 resections were analyzed with descriptive statistics, the Kaplan-Meier method, and Cox regression. Survival was compared over time for the following periods: 1993-2006, 2007-2012, and 2013-2020. RESULTS: The study enrolled 783 HM patients undergoing liver resection and 204 PSD patients undergoing cytoreduction and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC). Compared with PSD patients, HM patients more often had R0 resections (90.3% vs. 32.4%), less often had pre-procedure chemotherapy (52.4% vs. 92.1%), and less often were functionally independent (79.7% vs. 95.6%). The 5-year overall survival for HM was 40.9%, with a median survival period of 45.8 months versus 25.8% and 33.4 months, respectively, for PSD (p < 0.05). When stratified by resection status, R0 HM and R0 PSD did not differ significantly in median survival (49.0 vs. 45.4 months; p = 0.83). The median survival after R1 resection also was similar between HM and PSD (32.6 vs. 26.9 months; p = 0.59). Survival between the two groups again was similar over time when stratified by resection status. The predictors of survival for HM patients were R0 resection, number of lesions, intraoperative transfusion, age, and adjuvant chemotherapy. For the PSD patients, the predictors were peritoneal cancer index (PCI) score, estimated blood loss (EBL), and female gender. CONCLUSION: The study showed that R0 resections are associated with improved outcomes and that median survival is similar between HM and PSD patients when it is achieved. Surveillance and treatment strategies that facilitate R0 resections are needed to improve results, particularly for PSD.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Hipertermia Inducida , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Neoplasias Peritoneales , Humanos , Femenino , Terapia Combinada , Estudios Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Peritoneales/cirugía , Neoplasias Peritoneales/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Neoplasias Hepáticas/tratamiento farmacológico , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos de Citorreducción , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Tasa de Supervivencia
20.
Hepatology ; 77(5): 1527-1539, 2023 05 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36646670

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is rapidly growing as risk factor for HCC. Liver resection for HCC in patients with MS is associated with increased postoperative risks. There are no data on factors associated with postoperative complications. AIMS: The aim was to identify risk factors and develop and validate a model for postoperative major morbidity after liver resection for HCC in patients with MS, using a large multicentric Western cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The univariable logistic regression analysis was applied to select predictive factors for 90 days major morbidity. The model was built on the multivariable regression and presented as a nomogram. Performance was evaluated by internal validation through the bootstrap method. The predictive discrimination was assessed through the concordance index. RESULTS: A total of 1087 patients were gathered from 24 centers between 2001 and 2021. Four hundred and eighty-four patients (45.2%) were obese. Most liver resections were performed using an open approach (59.1%), and 743 (68.3%) underwent minor hepatectomies. Three hundred and seventy-six patients (34.6%) developed postoperative complications, with 13.8% major morbidity and 2.9% mortality rates. Seven hundred and thirteen patients had complete data and were included in the prediction model. The model identified obesity, diabetes, ischemic heart disease, portal hypertension, open approach, major hepatectomy, and changes in the nontumoral parenchyma as risk factors for major morbidity. The model demonstrated an AUC of 72.8% (95% CI: 67.2%-78.2%) ( https://childb.shinyapps.io/NomogramMajorMorbidity90days/ ). CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing liver resection for HCC and MS are at high risk of postoperative major complications and death. Careful patient selection, considering baseline characteristics, liver function, and type of surgery, is key to achieving optimal outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Síndrome Metabólico , Humanos , Hepatectomía/métodos , Síndrome Metabólico/complicaciones , Síndrome Metabólico/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología
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